LAKE FOREST, Ill. —  If you just glanced at the score, the Packers’ 38-17 win over the Bears in Week 4 would look like a game the Bears never had a chance to win.

But the Bears were actually in that game, and if Martellus Bennett hadn’t been stopped just inches short of the goal-line as time expired in the first half, they would have been winning 24-21.

Looking back on it, that entire sequence at the end of the first half was a big moment in this season. The Bears failed on an on-side kick and the Packers went down the field to take a 21-17 lead. The Bears bounced back with their own impressive drive right down the field, but were stopped short of the goal-line, with the help of some questionable clock management. Who knows if the Bears would have gone on to win that game, but the sequence was deflating and the Bears didn’t score again, as Jay Cutler threw two second half interceptions.

But that first half proved that the Bears can score on the Packers. They scored on each of their first three drives and were just inches short from scoring on their fourth. There’s no reason why they shouldn’t be able to move the ball Sunday night, but the question is: Can they do it for an entire game? That’s what the Bears have struggled to do this season, and the possible loss of tight end Martellus Bennett (ribs) would only make it harder for the Bears to find consistency.

And then there’s the other side of the ball. The Bears might be able to move the ball on the Packers, but we know that Aaron Rodgers can do the same on the Bears. Chicago’s X-factor is Jared Allen, who missed the Week 4 matchup with pneumonia, and has 16 career sacks in 13 games against Green Bay. The Packers could be without both starting offensive guards which should give Jeremiah Ratliff and Stephen Paea an advantage inside. If Willie Young can keep his solid season going, the defensive line could have their best game of the season — which has to happen for the Bears to have a chance.

So can the Bears get a season-saving win in Green Bay Sunday night? If the defensive line can get pressure on Rodgers, somehow force a turnover and two, and the Bears’ offense keeps it clean on their end, they can leave Lambeau Field with a win. The problem is, based on what we’ve seen from the Bears this season, that’s asking a lot. And, if things are as bad in the locker room as has been reported, this could get ugly in a hurry.

My guess is the Bears keep it close, but lose a heartbreaker late. You know, sort of like Week 17 last season. It wouldn’t be the first time the Packers have dashed the Bears’ playoff hopes with a last-minute victory.

My Prediction: Packers 31, Bears 30

Adam Hoge covers the Bears for 87.7 The Game and TheGameChicago.com. Follow him on Twitter at @AdamHoge.